The Moneychanger
Daily Commentary
Monday, 13 February a.d. 2012 Browse the commentary archive

I reckon the cleanup crews out sweeping up after fire-bombing protestors in Greece have left markets wondering whether the Greek Debt Deal is a done deal or not. Something about protestors throwing rocks & firebombs calls into question the parliament's vote.

Stocks rose a little while the US dollar, euro, yen, & silver & gold twitched sideways.

Dow Jones Industrial Average today rose 72.81 or 0.57% to 12,874.04. S&P rose 0.68% (9.13 points) to to 1,351.77.

Spooky how stocks dropped like your car keys down a well on Friday, then did what your car keys never do, popped right back up. Well, almost to the lip of the well, but not quite. The bounce didn't reach as high as Thursday, so this could promise two different outcomes, either extending the rally, or failing & falling.

Clue to which outcome will eventuate is the Dow's 20 day moving average at 12,734. That opens a deep and unforgiving mineshaft below the Dow.

And there is also more discouraging news from the MACD and RSI indicators, bumping up on highs and rolling over downward.

Currencies are all holding their breath, waiting to see what will happen in Greece. US dollar fell 11.5 basis points (0.15%) to 78.974, 'bout the same place it stood on Friday. Euro fell 0.03% (get out your microscope) to 1.3194, yen rose 0.04% to 128.92c/Y100 (Y77.57/US$1). Euro is trying to fall out of bed.

Silver & gold are still stuck, and disagreeing today. Gold fell thirty cents [sic] to $1,723. Silver rose 12c to 3369.6c.

Those numbers look promising, but the chart doesn't. Unless gold begins to climb & rises first over $1,730 it will drop. Once it drops below $1,705, then it will go whole hog to $1,680 or $1,650.

On the other hand, if gold clears $1,730, it's back in the fight. RSI & MACD whisper gold is headed down, though.

Silver's chart doesn't say much more than gold's, just has different boundaries. Upside silver must clear 3400c, and hasn't yet been to make that stick. Down below 3320c must hold, or silver will give up another dollar.

On 13 February 1924 the tomb of Pharaoh Tutankhamen (1341 BC - 1323 BC) was opened by English archaeologists Howard Carter and George Herbert.

Tutankhamen reigned in the late 18th dynasty at the peak of Egyptian imperial power. He came to power after his father or father-in-law, Akhenaten, had roiled the entire country by introducing the monotheistic worship of Aten, idolized as the sun-disk. "Introducing" also meant "suppressing" all the manifold other Egyptian cults, and making enemies out of their priesthoods, the most powerful men in the country.

The most interesting facet of Akhenaten's reign was his patronage of a naturalistic approach to art far different from the stilted and formal Egyptian style that had ruled for more than 20 centuries. Many of the artifacts from Tutankhamen's tomb reflect that artistic revolution. SPECIAL OFFER

Somebody asked me why, if I think gold will rise, I would sell gold coins. Simply because I make my living buying & selling gold, & if I held on to everything I bought, I'd be out of business in about two days.

But why these special offers? Because they offer some special value. Maybe I've been accumulating them for a while at lower prices, & so can sell them cheaper than usual, or maybe they just backed up in my inventory & I want to clean them out. Either way, my problem is your opportunity.

Today I have ONLY six US $20 gold pieces I have accumulated over time. You buy them as is. Remember, they contain only 0.9675 troy ounce fine gold. I priced them based on $1,723 spot gold, and the premium is shown with each.

The Liberty $20 gold was minted before 1907. The St. Gaudens from 1907 -1934.

MINIMUM PURCHASE: any Two (2) coins, plus $25 per order shipping. Any problems with the coins are fully described.

I'm not selling these as collector's items, but simply as gold coins at a small premium over their gold content. I am selling them "as is."

1. One 1879-S which might be an Extremely Fine grade but isn't because it has a heavy scratch on the obverse, $1,750.00 (a 5% premium over gold value).

2. One 1885-S which might be an EF grace but isn't because somebody cleaned it & it has scratches on the reverse, $1,750.00 (a 5% premium over gold)

3. One 1892-S Extremely Fine grade, no problems, $1,760.00, at 5.6% premium over melt.

4. One 1904 About Uncirculated, no problems, $1,780.00 or a 6.8% premium over gold value

5. One 1904 that surely would have graded VF but somebody polished it & it has a little edge bruise, $1,750.00 (a 5% premium over melt)

6. One 1924 (St. Gaudens type) About Uncirculated with a small scratch on the reverse, $1,780.00 (6.8% premium).

Sorry, no re-orders at these prices. Offer ends when my supply runs out.

Special Conditions:

First come, first served, and no re-orders at these prices. I will enter orders based on the time I receive your e-mail at .

We will not take orders for less than the minimums shown above.

All sales on a strict "no-nag" basis. We will ship as soon as your check clears, but we allow Two weeks (14 days) for your check to clear. Calls looking for your order two days after we receive your check will be politely and patiently rebuffed. If you want faster shipping, please send a wire.

Spot gold basis for all prices above is $1,723.00. ORDERING INSTRUCTIONS:

1. You may order by e-mail only to . No phone orders, please.

Your email must include your complete name, address, & phone number. We cannot ship to you without your address. Sorry, we cannot ship outside the United States or to Tennessee.

Repeat, your email must include your complete name, address, and phone number. Our clairvoyant quit without warning last week and I stumbled & dropped my crystal ball, smashing it to pieces, so we can no longer read your mind.

2. Orders are on a first-come, first-served basis until supply is exhausted.

3. "First come, first-served" means that we will enter the orders in the order that we receive them by e-mail.

4. If your order is filled, we will e-mail you a confirmation. If you do not receive a confirmation, your order was not filled.

5. You will need to send payment by personal check or bank wire (either one is fine) within 48 hours. It just needs to be in the mail, not in our hands, in 48 hours.

6. We allow fourteen (14) days for personal checks to clear before we ship. If your hurry is greater than that, you can send a bank wire. Once we ship, the post office takes four to fourteen days to get the registered mail package to you. All in all, you'll see your order in about one month if you send a check.

Argentum et aurum comparanda sunt —
Silver and gold must be bought.

— Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger

Your source for gold and silver. Read our latest reviews and testimonials.
Market Snapshot See more charts and market data
13-Feb-12 Price Change % Change
Gold, $/oz 1,723.00 -0.30 -0.02%
Silver, $/oz 33.70 0.12 0.36%
Gold/Silver Ratio 51.134 -0.192 -0.37%
Silver/Gold Ratio 0.0196 0.0001 0.37%
Platinum 1,650.00 -13.50 -0.81%
Palladium 696.25 -17.50 -2.45%
S&P 500 1,351.77 9.13 0.68%
Dow 12,874.04 72.81 0.57%
Dow in GOLD $s 154.46 0.92 0.60%
Dow in GOLD oz 7.47 0.04 0.60%
Dow in SILVER oz 382.06 0.80 0.21%
US Dollar Index 78.97 0.12 0.15%
IMPORTANT NOTE: The following are wholesale, not retail, prices. To figure our retail selling price, multiply the "ask" price by 1.035. To figure our retail buying price, multiple the "bid" price by 0.97. Lower commissions apply to larger orders, higher commissions to very small orders.
SPOT GOLD: 1,723.70      
GOLD Fine Tr.Oz. BID ASK $/oz
American Eagle 1.00 1,759.90 1,774.90 1,774.90
1/2 AE 0.50 870.47 904.94 1,809.89
1/4 AE 0.25 439.54 456.78 1,827.12
1/10 AE 0.10 182.71 191.33 1,913.31
Aust. 100 corona 0.98 1,677.74 1,691.74 1,725.92
British sovereign 0.24 405.76 412.76 1,753.44
French 20 franc 0.19 321.81 328.81 1,761.19
Krugerrand 1.00 1,734.04 1,749.04 1,749.04
Maple Leaf 1.00 1,735.70 1,756.70 1,756.70
1/2 Maple Leaf 0.50 853.23 896.32 1,792.65
1/4 Maple Leaf 0.25 426.62 456.78 1,827.12
1/10 Maple Leaf 0.10 170.65 186.16 1,861.60
Mexican 50 peso 1.21 2,061.47 2,077.47 1,723.04
.9999 bar 1.00 1,729.73 1,740.73 1,740.73
SPOT SILVER: 33.69      
SILVER Fine Tr.Oz. BID ASK $/oz
VG+ Morgan $B4 1905 0.77 27,055.85 27,500.00 35.95
VG+ Peace dollar 0.77 26,055.85 26,500.00 34.64
90% silver coin bags 0.72 23,552.10 23,902.10 33.43
US 40% silver 1/2s 0.30 9,466.55 9,641.55 32.68
100 oz .999 bar 100.00 3,394.00 3,434.00 34.34
10 oz .999 bar 10.00 339.40 343.40 34.34
1 oz .999 round 1.00 33.94 34.54 34.54
Am Eagle, 200 oz Min 1.00 35.44 36.04 36.04
SPOT PLATINUM: 1,650.00      
PLATINUM Fine Tr.Oz. BID ASK $/oz
Plat. Platypus 1.00 1,675.00 1,718.00 1,718.00
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© 2015 Little Mountain Corporation, d.b.a. The Moneychanger. All rights reserved. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

Warnings and Disclaimers

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary trend is up, targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stock's primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 16 ounces of silver. US$ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

Be advised and warned:

  • Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short-term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.
  • NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.
  • NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.
  • NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.
  • What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands. For additional information, please see our Ten Commandments for Buying Gold and Silver.
  • One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

Explanation of Terms

The US DOLLAR INDEX is the average exchange rate for the US dollar against the Euro, Yen, Pound sterling, Canadian Dollar, Swiss Franc, and Swedish Krona, weighted for each country's trade with the US. It gives a general measure of the US dollar's performance against all other currencies.

The DOW IN GOLD DOLLARS measures the Dow Jones Industrial Average in gold dollars (0.048375 troy oz. by law). The DiG$ depicts the Primary (20 year) Trend of stocks against gold. When the DiG$ is dropping, gold is gaining value against stocks in a trend that should last 15-20 years. The DiG$'s chart is identical to the Dow in ounces of gold, but gives us one unvarying measure all the way back to 1896. Because it shows the primary trend ("tide") of gold against stocks, for investors it is the single most important financial chart in the world today. Since its August 1999 high at G$925.42 (44.8 ounces), the DiG$ has trended down, targeting a G$80-G$20 (4-1 oz. of gold will buy the whole Dow).

The DOW IN SILVER OUNCES shows how many ounces of silver are needed to buy the entire Dow. The DiSoz is trending down with a target of under 36 ounces.

The GOLD/SILVER RATIO is the gold price divided by the silver price, and shows how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. The Ratio shows us the Primary (20 year) Trend of gold's value against silver. When the Ratio's trend is dropping, silver is gaining value against gold. This trend targets a gold/silver ratio of 16 ounces of silver to one of gold within the next 5-10 years. That implies that silver will massively, vastly outperform gold before this bull market ends. When both metals are rallying, the ratio often (but not always) drops, confirming the rally.

Other Important Information

This is not an offer to buy or sell. Prices subject to change without notice. To enter an order, call us at (888) 218-9226 or (931) 766-6066. Sorry, no sales to Tennessee.

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