There used to be an old saying about doing things "on the come," that is, operating in expectation of "good thing to come," rather than present realities.
Trump has the stock market operating strongly "on the come." He twits or tweets or whatever it's called that he plans to cut taxes massively, & stock buyers react as if that were money in the bank instead of "on the come."
Today the Dow rose another 10.45 (0.52%) to another all-time high at 20,611.86. S&P500 also climbed, 11.67 (0.5%) to 2,349.25. RSI is monstrously overbought.
Yet I put my hand over my mouth. What can I say? Anvils can fly after all.
US dollar index had a nasty day. Look at the chart, http://schrts.co/OkJ5UT
Dollar index hit its 50 DMA (frequent target of upward corrections in downtrending markets), sliced through the 50 DMA to a new high for the move, then collapsed, closing 7 basis points lower for the day at 101.16. That starkly paints the first half of a key reversal, & a lower close tomorrow locks in that reversal. Dollar index fell in spite of higher interest rates today.
Yen reached its 50 DMA today and turned up 0.1% to 86.99. Euro rose 0.2% to $1.0522 but remains below its 50 & 20 DMAs.
Slowly & steadily silver & gold keep advancing. Silver rose 7.5¢ to 1794.7¢ and gold climbed $7.80 to $1,231.70.
Y'all ever try to push through waist high boxwoods? They grow so thick that it's nearly impossible. Look at silver's chart, http://schrts.co/pyUNW4
The ganged presence of the 200 DMA and resistance at 1800¢ leaves silver pushing through the boxwoods. Notice that it has not been stopped, but keeps on edging through. Today's high was 1802¢. When silver finally bulls its way through those boxwoods, it will RUN out the other side.
Gold's chart today is excellent: http://schrts.co/qbw8Qw
Why excellent? Because it broke down during the day through $1,220 support and fell plumb to $1,217.50, suddenly, about 11:00 a.m. From that low gold launched straight up to a high at $1,234.30, & closed near there. Whenever a market breaks support, but bounces back to close higher for the day, that signals strength.
Tomorrow gold needs to break the glass ceiling at $1,234 and silver needs to prune the boxwoods at 1800¢. (Prune the boxwoods? You've been watching Three Amigos too much. Never mind, sorry, I'm severely metaphor-deficient today.)
It appears silver & gold will soon hit that part of the road where the speed limit rises abruptly.
VALENTINE'S DAY SPECIAL OFFER: US $5.00 & $10 GOLD COMMEMORATIVES
In 1986 the US mint began issuing commemorative $5 & $10 gold pieces in the ancient fineness of 90% and weights of 0.2419 and 0.4838 troy ounce. That's about a quarter and a half an ounce. Between 1986 and 2008 the Mint issued 20 different fives and two different tens.
Now here's a secret about "modern rarities" that dealers won't tell you. Mints issue them at high premiums, but the premiums very rapidly evaporate, so you never want to buy them when first issued (when public interest is hot), but only after they lose all that premium.
So it has happened with the US $5 & $10 commemoratives. They have virtually no premium left, and never mind that they are handsome coins, struck in proof and encased in plastic.
What does this mean for us? This are my favorite gold coins in these sizes because they are beautiful, plainly struck in the U.S., & most of all, CHEAP.
HERE'S THE OFFER: ONE LOT CONSISTS OF Six (6) EACH $5 COMMEMORATIVES AND Three (3) EACH $10 COMMEMORATIVES. Here are the details:
I can sell the $5s to you at 4% per coin over their spot gold value. In other words, if the spot gold value is $297.30 ($1,229 spot gold x 0.2419), I can sell them to you at ($297.30 + $12 =) $309.30 each, about a 4% premium.
The $10 commems cost $22 per coin over spot value. If spot gold value is $594.60 ($1,229 x 0.4838), the $10 commem will cost you (594.60 + $22 =) $616.60 each, a 3.7% premium.
One lot contains 2.9028 troy ounce of fine gold.
The examples above based on $1,229 are just that. I don't know what spot will be when you call. The only price that I'm fixing is the premium, $12 or $22. If spot gold is higher than $1,229.00 when you call to enter your order, the price will be higher; if spot is lower, they'll cost less.
This offer will operate a little differently than others: DO NOT EMAIL US to accept the offer. Please TELEPHONE US at (931) 766-6066 or (888) 218-9226 to enter an order, based on whatever gold price is then-current, higher or lower. We are on central time and open at 9:00 a.m.
** Minimum order is one lot consisting of Six (6) each $5 commems AND Three (3) each $10 commems. with Spot at $1,229, that amounts to $3,705.55 +$30 shipping or $3,735.55. REMEMBER, they won't be this EXACT price, but will be priced upon spot at the time you enter the order, higher or lower.
** Only one $30 shipping charge per order, whether you order 10 lots or 1,000.
** Offer is good for Two days only, Wednesday, 15 February & Thursday, 16 February, or until supplies are exhausted.
** If you get voice mail, it means our lines are clogged. Leave your name, address, phone number, & email & how many Lots you want. We'll call you back quickly with the order written.
The following other conditions apply
Sorry, we will not take orders for less than the minimum shown above.
All sales on a strict "no-nag" basis. We will ship as soon as your check clears, but we allow Two weeks (14 days) for your check to clear. Calls looking for your order two days after we receive your check will be politely and patiently rebuffed. ORDERING INSTRUCTIONS:
1. You may order by telephone only at (931) 766-6066. Phone orders only, please. Sorry, we can't ship into Tennessee or outside the United States.
2. When you buy from us, we cannot later change or cancel the trade. We are giving you our word that we will sell at that price, & you are giving us your word that you will buy at that price, regardless what later happens in the market, up or down.
If you break your word to us, we will never again do business with you.
3. Once your order is filled, we will e-mail you a confirmation.
4. You must send payment by personal check or bank wire (either one is fine) within 48 hours. Check just needs to be in the mail, not in our hands, in 48 hours. Sorry, no credit cards.
5. "No Nag Basis" means that we allow fourteen (14) days for personal checks to clear before we ship.
Want your order faster? Send a bank wire, but that's not required. Once we ship, the post office takes four to fourteen days to get the registered mail package to you. All in all, if you send a check you'll see your order in about one month; a wire, about a week.
Argentum et aurum comparanda sunt —
Silver and gold must be bought.
— Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger