The Moneychanger
Daily Commentary
Wednesday, 2 August a.d. 2017 Browse the commentary archive

While stock touts are crowing about a new high for the Dow Industrials, others hear a screaming non-confirmation. Dow alone is making new highs, powering away from the S&P500. Dow Transports, which is supposed to confirm the Industrials, is falling. Nasdaq Comp & Russell 2000 fell today. Choke off that crowing, buster, and watch out for the chopping block.

Today the Dow Industrials closed at 22,016.24, up 52.32 or 0.24% to a new all time high. S&P500 rose only 1.22, up 0.05% to 2,477.57.

I note and point out with underlining that the Dow in Gold & Dow in Silver did NOT make new highs in tandem with new Dow highs. They already did that. Chart can be found right here, In fact, the DiG's making a guess what pattern? Right, broadening top.

US dollar index gave up yesterday's gains, falling 18 basis points 0.2%) to 92.77. Drop dead level is 91.88. Close below that means the dollar is dropping dead.

On Comex, where they take no prisoners and grant no mercy, gold tumbled a whole 80¢ to $1,271.80. Silver crawfished 3.1¢ to 1669.7¢.

On the gold chart, y'all will see that gold's long & virtually uninterrupted rise from the 10 July low is begging for a small correction That will work up gold's strength to punch through $1,300.

Silver's chart, shows that the metal of the moon tried to escape through the downtrend from the April high, but failed. That line coincides with the 50 DMA, roughly. Also present there is the uptrend line from the December 2015 low. Good spot to sit down and take a break.

My outlook remains the same: an enormous gold and silver rally is building & RIGHT NOW is time to take advantage by purchasing some. Hide and watch.

The Trump administration disappoints even worse than I expected. Now it seems that all the Swamp Creatures have wreaked their vengeance by co-opting Trump, while the militarists in the Deep State, the "intelligence" community, the media, & the apparatchiki of the Establishment are trying to pull him down. The administration is now stumbling toward war with Russia, which we need like a fish needs an electric razor. I think they've hired consultants who were working in the Austro-Hungarian foreign ministry in 1914.

Argentum et aurum comparanda sunt —
Silver and gold must be bought.

— Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger

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Market Snapshot See more charts and market data
2-Aug-17 Price Change % Change
Gold, $/oz 1,271.80 -0.80 -0.06%
Silver, $/oz 16.70 -0.03 -0.19%
Gold/Silver Ratio 76.169 0.093 0.12%
Silver/Gold Ratio 0.0131 -0.0000 -0.12%
Platinum 950.80 4.30 0.45%
Palladium 897.20 -1.20 -0.13%
S&P 500 2,477.57 1.22 0.05%
Dow 22,016.24 52.32 0.24%
Dow in GOLD $s 357.85 1.07 0.30%
Dow in GOLD oz 17.31 0.05 0.30%
Dow in SILVER oz 1,318.57 5.57 0.42%
US Dollar Index 92.77 -0.18 -0.19%
IMPORTANT NOTE: The following are wholesale, not retail, prices. To figure our retail selling price, multiply the "ask" price by 1.035. To figure our retail buying price, multiple the "bid" price by 0.97. Lower commissions apply to larger orders, higher commissions to very small orders.
SPOT GOLD: 1,266.00      
GOLD Fine Tr.Oz. BID ASK $/oz
American Eagle 1.00 1,275.50 1,308.41 1,308.41
1/2 AE 0.50 638.83 651.99 1,303.98
1/4 AE 0.25 324.16 330.74 1,322.97
1/10 AE 0.10 134.72 137.36 1,373.61
Aust. 100 corona 0.98 1,229.76 1,238.76 1,263.79
British sovereign 0.24 300.25 313.25 1,330.72
French 20 franc 0.19 234.00 238.00 1,274.76
Krugerrand 1.00 1,273.60 1,283.60 1,283.60
Maple Leaf 1.00 1,271.06 1,281.06 1,281.06
1/2 Maple Leaf 0.50 727.95 664.65 1,329.30
1/4 Maple Leaf 0.25 322.83 338.66 1,354.62
1/10 Maple Leaf 0.10 134.20 137.99 1,379.94
Mexican 50 peso 1.21 1,512.55 1,523.55 1,263.63
.9999 bar 1.00 1,264.00 1,276.00 1,276.00
SPOT SILVER: 16.54      
SILVER Fine Tr.Oz. BID ASK $/oz
VG+ Morgan $B4 1905 0.77 20.50 24.50 32.03
VG+ Peace dollar 0.77 14.50 17.50 22.88
90% silver coin bags 0.72 11,608.03 11,894.03 16.64
US 40% silver 1/2s 0.30 4,700.83 4,848.83 16.44
100 oz .999 bar 100.00 1,643.50 1,683.50 16.84
10 oz .999 bar 10.00 164.35 282.58 28.26
1 oz .999 round 1.00 16.49 16.92 16.92
Am Eagle, 200 oz Min 1.00 17.29 18.54 18.54
SPOT PLATINUM: 950.80      
Plat. Platypus 1.00 968.80 990.80 990.80
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© 2015 Little Mountain Corporation, d.b.a. The Moneychanger. All rights reserved. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

Warnings and Disclaimers

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary trend is up, targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stock's primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 16 ounces of silver. US$ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

Be advised and warned:

  • Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short-term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.
  • NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.
  • NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.
  • NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.
  • What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands. For additional information, please see our Ten Commandments for Buying Gold and Silver.
  • One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

Explanation of Terms

The US DOLLAR INDEX is the average exchange rate for the US dollar against the Euro, Yen, Pound sterling, Canadian Dollar, Swiss Franc, and Swedish Krona, weighted for each country's trade with the US. It gives a general measure of the US dollar's performance against all other currencies.

The DOW IN GOLD DOLLARS measures the Dow Jones Industrial Average in gold dollars (0.048375 troy oz. by law). The DiG$ depicts the Primary (20 year) Trend of stocks against gold. When the DiG$ is dropping, gold is gaining value against stocks in a trend that should last 15-20 years. The DiG$'s chart is identical to the Dow in ounces of gold, but gives us one unvarying measure all the way back to 1896. Because it shows the primary trend ("tide") of gold against stocks, for investors it is the single most important financial chart in the world today. Since its August 1999 high at G$925.42 (44.8 ounces), the DiG$ has trended down, targeting a G$80-G$20 (4-1 oz. of gold will buy the whole Dow).

The DOW IN SILVER OUNCES shows how many ounces of silver are needed to buy the entire Dow. The DiSoz is trending down with a target of under 36 ounces.

The GOLD/SILVER RATIO is the gold price divided by the silver price, and shows how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. The Ratio shows us the Primary (20 year) Trend of gold's value against silver. When the Ratio's trend is dropping, silver is gaining value against gold. This trend targets a gold/silver ratio of 16 ounces of silver to one of gold within the next 5-10 years. That implies that silver will massively, vastly outperform gold before this bull market ends. When both metals are rallying, the ratio often (but not always) drops, confirming the rally.

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